I'm not sure cases/day is a fair measure. We're testing far more people today because testing is widely available and not just to people at high risk or who have likely been exposed.
That said, I have professional adult cow-workers (tip of the hat to Dilbert) who are going places/doing things I wouldn't do right now and things they wouldn't have done a month or two ago. They have let their guard way down. That isn't helpful.
The other metrics are going up as well. You don't have to have a sophisticated test to determine if someone is dead.Originally Posted by Kyle Boatright
According to what I'm seeing in the MSM, deaths are flat. (Mostly, I think that's because of the distancing and other measures taken in retirement facilities).
Here's a story: https://www.businessinsider.com/us-c...hs-flat-2020-7
Hospitalizations are way up in the "reopened" states. The lockdown kept most states that weren't initially devastated from exceeding their ICU capacity. They're doing so now.
The problem is that deaths should be going down if you believe that the case is subsiding. And the flattening isn't nearly as prominent if you look at the particularly affected states. There's also a 14 day lag on deaths vs. positive tests, so it's not clear that things aren't going to upturn.||
Last edited by FlyingRon; 07-04-2020 at 07:09 AM.
I'd like to see all the numbers for Covid 19....then compare them to the "common" flu....or is that a secret?
Last edited by mbalexander; 07-03-2020 at 09:43 AM.
https://www.businessinsider.com/coro...h-rates-2020-3
"This year's flu season is shaping up to be possibly less severe than the 2017-2018 season, when 61,000 deaths were linked to the virus. However, it could equal or surpass the 2018-2019 season's 34,200 flu-related deaths.
"Overall, the CDC estimates that 12,000 and 61,000 deaths annually since 2010 can be blamed on the flu. "
https://www.health.com/condition/col...flu-every-year
So, about 34,000 flu-related deaths in 2018-2019, vs. 130,000 deaths IN JUST FOUR MONTHS since Covid-19 hit. Some predictions say we're going to hit 200,000 deaths by December.
Ron Wanttaja
I went to see my family doctor a couple days ago.
He came into the examination room with his mask hanging off of one of his ears.
He started telling me stuff like, "If I were 65 years old and had diabetes" and got COVID19.
I would have a 97 percent survival rate of living.
This whole COVID19 thing is making me a little uneasy.
There is just not a coherent single source of info of what to believe.
Where everyone is on the same page.
This is a sad state of affairs.
I disagree with their use of the term "flat"...I prefer "linear." "Flat," to me, implies neither rising or falling (e.g., "flatlined").
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/florida/
Otherwise, I agree with their conclusion that difference in the rates is due to younger people becoming infected. While increased reporting is probably a factor in the spike in cases, the hospitalization rate is jumping, too. Some states are running out of ICU room (again....).
Ron Wanttaja
Posting Permissions
Reply With Quote
