I was just sitting around when the thought popped into my brain: I wonder if ADS-B prices (specifically, the combined xpnder/ADS-B units) will drop after January 1st. After all, aside from us homebuilders, most of the GA aircraft (at least those flying near controlled airspace), should be fully equipped.

As a homebuilder who will not be complete with my current plane until 2020, do I just hold-off and wait? I'm betting yes. I know there will still be a few hundred a year for new certificated production as well as E/AB, but should be a far cry from today.