The Annual Registration Summaries
It's the first of the year, time for me to download the FAA aircraft registration database and provide some insights.
First up: Total registrations
Year |
All Aircraft |
All A/C Net |
All A/C New |
EAB |
EAB Net |
EAB New |
2009 |
374373 |
-1751 |
5267 |
31914 |
672 |
1136 |
2010 |
373896 |
-477 |
4945 |
32682 |
768 |
1077 |
2011 |
367857 |
-6039 |
5185 |
33038 |
356 |
1022 |
2012 |
352198 |
-15659 |
5326 |
32041 |
-997 |
954 |
2013 |
317993 |
-34205 |
5983 |
27946 |
-4095 |
918 |
2014 |
312586 |
-5407 |
7181 |
27909 |
-37 |
1047 |
2015 |
314404 |
1818 |
10058 |
28078 |
169 |
950 |
2016 |
320683 |
6279 |
10533 |
28830 |
752 |
977 |
2017 |
312344 |
-8339 |
6622 |
28451 |
-379 |
917 |
2018 |
294221 |
-18123 |
6857 |
26572 |
-1879 |
888 |
"All" is the total number of registrations
"Net" is the change in the number of registrations vs. the previous year
"New" is the total number of new aircraft registrations. This is based on the "Net" value, corrected by the number of aircraft that had been de-registered that year.
Obviously, there was a big jump in the number of aircraft de-registered last year. Where this usually causes problems is when some bright spark tries to join two unrelated statistics...namely, the FAA registration database, the FAA estimate of annual flight hours, and the NTSB accident statistics.
Despite a nearly 2,000-aircraft reduction in the number of registered homebuilt aircraft, the number of ACTIVE homebuilts didn't decrease by that much. But since the "official" number of homebuilts dropped by almost 7%, someone will claim that the total flight hours flown by homebuilts last year ALSO dropped by 7%. This is probably not the case.
Plus, if someone then tries to compute fatality/100,000 flight hours, the supposed reduction in flight hours will make it APPEAR that the accident rate increased.
Now, word is that the number of EAB accidents was at a low last year. That should help, but one should, again, keep in mind that there are some loosey-goosey (pardon my French) games being played with these numbers.
Next step will be to extract the numbers of specific homebuilt types from the registry, and post the fleet sizes.
Ron Wanttaja